Whole-Project Estimate Classes
Some companies use different classes of
project estimate. How do they differ and how do you know?
Classes of Estimate in Construction
Estimating
methodology is well established in the public works and building
construction industry
Four classes of
construction project estimate are quite common
·
Paralleling the levels of accuracy discussed in
previous Issacons
·
They are usually designated "A" through "D"
·
Where Class A is the most reliable
·
Each is described in the following pages
Estimate Class A
General description
·
An owner's estimate based on complete contract
documents and used as a control check on authorized expenditures prior
to tendering
·
Or by the contractor as a basis for tendering
Includes
·
A detailed quantity take-off and projection of
time and costs to deliver the entire facility
·
Production team usually involved in the
preparation
·
And willing to commit to it
·
Expected precision variance -5% to +10% or less
Class B Estimate
General Description
·
An estimate based on completed preliminary
design drawings
·
Upon acceptance, these estimates become the
cost plans for project cost control during design
·
Includes
·
At least two levels of a documented work
breakdown structure, definition of major systems and subsystems,
preliminary drawings and outline specifications
·
Developed by project manager and/or subject
matter experts
·
Expected precision variance -10% to +20% or
less
Class C Estimate
·
General
Description
·
Ballpark estimate used only in preliminary
discussion of feasibility
·
Sufficient for selecting correct investment
decisions
·
But not used for making commitments
·
Includes
·
Completion of all work necessary to undertake
preliminary design
·
Knowledge of site conditions adequate to enable
identification of site related risks, and
·
Development of corresponding contingency costs
·
Expected precision variance -15% to +25% or
more
Class D Estimate
·
General
Description
·
An estimated "Order of Magnitude", strictly
only an indication of the final cost and completion date
·
Purely for cost comparison between alternative
solutions, or competing projects
·
It is essential that each is estimated on the
same basis
·
By the same people!
Includes
·
A comprehensive statement of requirements in
mission terms
·
And an outline solution
·
Expected precision variance -25% to +75%
How can you tell?
In previous Issacons
·
We've stressed the importance of quoting
estimates in ranges
The problem is
·
It is difficult to add, analyze and manipulate
numbers that are in ranges
·
Except in risk assessments
·
Using Monte Carlo
risk assessment software
So, from the numbers
alone
·
You often cannot tell, unless you are told!
But there is a way
A neat solution
·
Your organization can adopt a special
estimating convention
·
Of using the last two decimal places as flags
·
Thus, estimate figures for each class would be
quoted as
·
Class A: $187,500.99
·
Class B: $188,000.88
·
Class C: $190,000.77
·
Class D: $200,000.66
·
This handy convention does not disrupt analysis
and findings