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Guidelines For Managers

Model Guideline #13 - Part A

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Project Cost Estimating: Planning Phases

Guideline Goal

To provide a consistent basis for understanding, communicating and presenting successive project cost estimates compatible with the evolution of the project's Scope Descriptions

Expectations - 1

The deliverable of the Project Concept Phase is a Business Case document that includes

    • An Order of Magnitude Estimate
      • Of the schedule and cost for the entire project
    • The accuracy of this estimate, like all others, is dependent upon the extent and reliability of the scope definition information
    • Practical experience suggests that the realistic accuracyof this cost estimate is in the range of -25% to +75%
      • It is strictly only an indication of the final project cost

Expectations - 2

Notwithstanding the question of accuracy ranges

    • The estimating of competing projects must be sufficiently consistent
      • For making the right investment decisions

Expectations - 3

The deliverable of the Definition Phase, Stage 1, is a set of system definitions

However, this documentation should include

    • A Definition Class Estimate
      • See Issacon #1034
    • Practical experience suggests that the realistic accuracy range of this cost estimate is probably -15% to +25%

Expectations - 4

The deliverable of the Definition Phase, Stage 2, is a Project Charter

The Project Charter requires

    • An Implementation Class Estimate
    • Converted to a viable Project Implementation Budget
    • Practical experience suggests that the realistic accuracy range of this cost estimate is probably -10% to +20%

To be continued